Week 6 start/sit6 calls
This week's lineup calls: where the model and the experts disagree, game-time injury decisions, and the best and worst matchups.
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Biggest calls
- Strongest startinto the starting range
QB · CHI @ ATL · QB3 · 20.1Model QB3, experts QB14, about +4.1 points. The experts have him outside a 12-team starting lineup; the model starts him.
90% rosteredCompare - Biggest fadeout of the starting range
QB · PHI vs CAR · QB17 · 15.4Model QB17, experts QB11, about −1.6 points. The experts start him in a 12-team league; the model has him on the bench.
96% rosteredCompare - Biggest injury question84% to play
QB · BAL @ CLE · QB10 · 17.2Missed practice; experts cooling · 17.2 if he plays · if he sits, Joe Fagnano (2.0)
Decide by Sun 1:00 PMCompare with backup
Model vs experts
Gaps in projected points, lineup-changing ones first (12-team league)
Dashed mark: the last starter in a 12-team league. Shading: the starting range. Gap: his projection minus the model's projection at his expert rank.
Game-time decisions
Starters whose status is in doubt, grouped by kickoff- 17.2 if he plays84%
Most points at stake first within each kickoff. Official game statuses arrive Friday. Backup projections don't yet include a bump for the starter sitting.
Best and worst matchups
Starters facing a top- or bottom-3 defense at their position▲Easiest
Facing a bottom-3 defense
20.9 pts30thBrock PurdyQB2 · vs WAS
19.9 pts31stJordan LoveQB5 · vs DAL
▼Toughest
Facing a top-3 defense
No starter faces a top-3 defense at his position.
Defense rank against the position, adjusted for schedule. 1st is the stingiest.
Role changes over several weeks are on Trends. Last starters in a 12-team league: QB12, RB24, WR36, TE12. Borderline goes 6 deeper.