
Projection · week 6
confidence 83%4.3PPRrange 1.0–8.0
Points allowed: IND implied for 25.8 by the betting lines, worth −0.4 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.0: this defense 2.3 × IND gives up 2.1 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.61: this defense 0.57 × IND throws 0.74 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | LAC | 4 | +3.1 |
| spread | favorite | 17 | +1.9 |
| rest | long | 10 | +1.3 |
| opponent | CIN | 3 | +1.1 |
| venue | home | 37 | +1.0 |
| opponent | HOU | 9 | +0.6 |
| surface | grass | 55 | +0.5 |
| rest | short | 6 | +0.4 |
| division | non-division | 48 | +0.4 |
| temp | cold | 6 | +0.2 |
| roof | outdoors | 61 | +0.1 |
| wind | calm | 49 | +0.1 |
| slot | daytime | 65 | +0.1 |
| temp | mild | 29 | +0.0 |
| temp | warm | 16 | -0.0 |
| rest | normal | 57 | -0.3 |
| opponent | IND | 8 | -0.5 |
| slot | primetime | 8 | -0.5 |
| spread | underdog | 56 | -0.6 |
| division | division | 25 | -0.7 |
| roof | indoors | 12 | -0.7 |
| venue | away | 36 | -1.0 |
| surface | turf | 14 | -1.7 |
| opponent | JAX | 8 | -2.4 |