Projection · week 6
confidence 83%5.7PPRrange 2.0–9.0
Points allowed: PIT implied for 21.0 by the betting lines, worth +0.7 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.0: this defense 2.0 × PIT gives up 2.3 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.72: this defense 0.76 × PIT throws 0.67 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | NO | 8 | +5.1 |
| roof | indoors | 20 | +1.5 |
| division | division | 24 | +1.2 |
| spread | favorite | 42 | +1.2 |
| opponent | CAR | 8 | +1.1 |
| surface | turf | 24 | +0.9 |
| slot | daytime | 58 | +0.7 |
| temp | warm | 27 | +0.5 |
| rest | short | 13 | +0.5 |
| rest | normal | 48 | +0.3 |
| venue | away | 37 | +0.2 |
| opponent | PHI | 4 | +0.1 |
| venue | home | 40 | -0.2 |
| roof | outdoors | 57 | -0.5 |
| division | non-division | 53 | -0.5 |
| opponent | GB | 3 | -0.6 |
| opponent | DAL | 4 | -0.7 |
| surface | grass | 50 | -0.7 |
| wind | calm | 46 | -0.8 |
| rest | long | 16 | -1.2 |
| spread | underdog | 35 | -1.4 |
| opponent | SF | 4 | -1.4 |
| opponent | DET | 4 | -1.4 |
| temp | mild | 20 | -1.9 |
| slot | primetime | 19 | -2.0 |
| opponent | ATL | 8 | -2.7 |