Projection · week 6
confidence 83%5.1PPRrange 2.0–8.0
Points allowed: WAS implied for 21.5 by the betting lines, worth +0.6 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 1.9: this defense 2.0 × WAS gives up 2.2 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.54: this defense 0.60 × WAS throws 0.63 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | DAL | 3 | +4.1 |
| temp | cold | 4 | +2.0 |
| opponent | SEA | 11 | +2.0 |
| spread | favorite | 66 | +1.1 |
| division | division | 29 | +0.5 |
| venue | home | 41 | +0.5 |
| wind | windy | 5 | +0.4 |
| rest | short | 17 | +0.4 |
| roof | outdoors | 67 | +0.3 |
| surface | grass | 60 | +0.2 |
| rest | normal | 40 | +0.2 |
| slot | primetime | 25 | +0.1 |
| opponent | MIA | 3 | +0.1 |
| slot | daytime | 56 | -0.1 |
| opponent | ARI | 9 | -0.2 |
| temp | mild | 34 | -0.2 |
| division | non-division | 52 | -0.3 |
| wind | calm | 49 | -0.3 |
| venue | away | 40 | -0.5 |
| rest | long | 24 | -0.6 |
| opponent | LA | 9 | -0.7 |
| opponent | TB | 4 | -0.7 |
| temp | warm | 16 | -1.0 |
| surface | turf | 16 | -1.5 |
| roof | indoors | 14 | -1.6 |
| opponent | CHI | 3 | -1.9 |
| opponent | KC | 3 | -1.9 |
| opponent | PHI | 3 | -4.2 |
| spread | underdog | 15 | -5.0 |