Projection · week 6
confidence 83%6.4PPRrange 3.0–10.0
Points allowed: DEN implied for 19.0 by the betting lines, worth +1.3 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.0: this defense 2.6 × DEN gives up 1.8 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.85: this defense 0.89 × DEN throws 0.67 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | NYG | 3 | +8.2 |
| opponent | NE | 3 | +5.6 |
| opponent | ATL | 3 | +3.9 |
| temp | warm | 4 | +3.1 |
| opponent | ARI | 9 | +2.0 |
| spread | favorite | 43 | +1.3 |
| rest | long | 19 | +1.0 |
| slot | primetime | 17 | +1.0 |
| wind | calm | 49 | +0.7 |
| division | non-division | 48 | +0.5 |
| temp | mild | 44 | +0.4 |
| roof | outdoors | 61 | +0.3 |
| surface | turf | 52 | +0.1 |
| venue | away | 38 | +0.1 |
| surface | grass | 21 | +0.0 |
| venue | home | 39 | -0.1 |
| rest | normal | 47 | -0.1 |
| slot | daytime | 60 | -0.3 |
| temp | cold | 3 | -0.4 |
| opponent | SF | 11 | -0.8 |
| division | division | 29 | -0.9 |
| opponent | DET | 3 | -1.1 |
| roof | indoors | 16 | -1.1 |
| rest | short | 11 | -1.4 |
| spread | underdog | 34 | -1.7 |
| opponent | WAS | 3 | -2.4 |
| opponent | CAR | 3 | -2.8 |
| opponent | LA | 9 | -3.8 |