Projection · week 6
confidence 83%7.2PPRrange 3.0–11.0
Points allowed: TB implied for 18.5 by the betting lines, worth +1.4 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.7: this defense 2.4 × TB gives up 2.6 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.79: this defense 0.76 × TB throws 0.73 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | LV | 3 | +4.8 |
| opponent | ATL | 3 | +4.5 |
| temp | warm | 5 | +3.3 |
| opponent | CIN | 9 | +2.6 |
| wind | windy | 6 | +2.5 |
| opponent | CLE | 9 | +2.4 |
| division | division | 27 | +1.4 |
| spread | favorite | 32 | +1.1 |
| venue | home | 38 | +1.0 |
| opponent | NE | 4 | +0.9 |
| temp | mild | 32 | +0.8 |
| rest | normal | 44 | +0.6 |
| surface | grass | 54 | +0.3 |
| wind | calm | 48 | +0.3 |
| slot | daytime | 54 | +0.1 |
| roof | outdoors | 66 | +0.1 |
| slot | primetime | 22 | -0.2 |
| rest | long | 19 | -0.3 |
| roof | indoors | 10 | -0.6 |
| opponent | BAL | 9 | -0.6 |
| opponent | IND | 5 | -0.7 |
| temp | cold | 17 | -0.8 |
| spread | underdog | 44 | -0.8 |
| division | non-division | 49 | -0.8 |
| venue | away | 38 | -1.0 |
| surface | turf | 19 | -1.0 |
| rest | short | 13 | -1.5 |
| opponent | NYJ | 3 | -2.5 |
| opponent | BUF | 3 | -5.2 |