Projection · week 6
confidence 83%5.7PPRrange 2.0–9.0
Points allowed: CAR implied for 20.5 by the betting lines, worth +0.8 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.1: this defense 2.1 × CAR gives up 2.3 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.67: this defense 0.69 × CAR throws 0.68 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | MIN | 3 | +3.2 |
| opponent | DAL | 8 | +2.3 |
| opponent | JAX | 3 | +1.5 |
| temp | cold | 11 | +1.4 |
| opponent | GB | 4 | +1.4 |
| surface | turf | 21 | +1.3 |
| roof | indoors | 15 | +1.0 |
| rest | long | 21 | +0.9 |
| slot | daytime | 59 | +0.3 |
| venue | away | 38 | +0.1 |
| opponent | LA | 5 | +0.1 |
| division | division | 27 | +0.1 |
| spread | favorite | 70 | +0.0 |
| division | non-division | 55 | -0.0 |
| spread | underdog | 12 | -0.0 |
| venue | home | 44 | -0.1 |
| roof | outdoors | 67 | -0.2 |
| rest | short | 16 | -0.2 |
| rest | normal | 45 | -0.3 |
| surface | grass | 57 | -0.5 |
| wind | calm | 47 | -0.6 |
| opponent | TB | 4 | -0.6 |
| opponent | NYG | 9 | -0.7 |
| wind | windy | 10 | -0.8 |
| slot | primetime | 23 | -0.9 |
| opponent | KC | 4 | -0.9 |
| opponent | WAS | 10 | -1.0 |
| temp | mild | 34 | -1.0 |
| temp | warm | 12 | -1.5 |
| opponent | SF | 3 | -1.8 |
| opponent | CHI | 3 | -2.8 |