Projection · week 6
confidence 83%4.5PPRrange 1.0–8.0
Points allowed: NE implied for 25.5 by the betting lines, worth −0.4 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.4: this defense 2.4 × NE gives up 2.4 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.47: this defense 0.45 × NE throws 0.73 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | CLE | 4 | +5.6 |
| opponent | DEN | 4 | +1.9 |
| venue | home | 36 | +1.5 |
| rest | long | 13 | +1.5 |
| opponent | NE | 8 | +1.0 |
| spread | favorite | 22 | +0.9 |
| slot | primetime | 13 | +0.7 |
| rest | short | 11 | +0.5 |
| roof | outdoors | 68 | +0.2 |
| division | non-division | 49 | +0.2 |
| opponent | MIA | 8 | -0.1 |
| wind | calm | 51 | -0.1 |
| slot | daytime | 60 | -0.2 |
| surface | turf | 47 | -0.2 |
| temp | warm | 15 | -0.3 |
| division | division | 24 | -0.3 |
| spread | underdog | 51 | -0.4 |
| temp | mild | 32 | -0.4 |
| rest | normal | 49 | -0.5 |
| surface | grass | 23 | -0.5 |
| temp | cold | 9 | -0.6 |
| venue | away | 37 | -1.4 |
| opponent | PIT | 3 | -1.6 |
| opponent | BUF | 8 | -1.9 |
| roof | indoors | 5 | -2.6 |
| opponent | JAX | 3 | -2.9 |
| wind | windy | 5 | -3.2 |