
Projection · week 6
confidence 83%5.5PPRrange 2.0–9.0
Points allowed: NYG implied for 22.0 by the betting lines, worth +0.4 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.5: this defense 2.3 × NYG gives up 2.5 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.57: this defense 0.60 × NYG throws 0.66 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | NYG | 3 | +5.0 |
| wind | windy | 3 | +2.3 |
| opponent | CAR | 8 | +2.2 |
| temp | mild | 12 | +2.0 |
| spread | favorite | 29 | +1.2 |
| slot | daytime | 63 | +0.7 |
| wind | calm | 18 | +0.7 |
| venue | home | 37 | +0.6 |
| division | division | 25 | +0.4 |
| rest | long | 15 | +0.3 |
| roof | outdoors | 25 | +0.3 |
| rest | normal | 48 | +0.3 |
| opponent | LV | 3 | -0.0 |
| surface | turf | 50 | -0.0 |
| surface | grass | 19 | -0.1 |
| opponent | TB | 8 | -0.1 |
| roof | indoors | 48 | -0.1 |
| temp | warm | 6 | -0.2 |
| division | non-division | 48 | -0.2 |
| venue | away | 36 | -0.6 |
| spread | underdog | 44 | -0.8 |
| opponent | ATL | 9 | -0.8 |
| temp | cold | 3 | -1.3 |
| rest | short | 10 | -1.7 |
| opponent | MIN | 3 | -2.3 |
| opponent | LA | 4 | -4.0 |
| slot | primetime | 10 | -4.2 |