Projection · week 6
confidence 83%6.9PPRrange 3.0–11.0
Points allowed: NYJ implied for 18.0 by the betting lines, worth +1.6 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.7: this defense 2.2 × NYJ gives up 2.8 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.58: this defense 0.66 × NYJ throws 0.62 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | CIN | 3 | +5.0 |
| opponent | IND | 3 | +4.7 |
| spread | favorite | 29 | +3.5 |
| temp | cold | 17 | +1.1 |
| opponent | MIA | 8 | +0.9 |
| opponent | PIT | 4 | +0.9 |
| rest | long | 14 | +0.9 |
| division | non-division | 52 | +0.3 |
| surface | turf | 49 | +0.3 |
| roof | outdoors | 70 | +0.2 |
| venue | home | 39 | +0.2 |
| slot | primetime | 14 | +0.1 |
| wind | calm | 56 | +0.0 |
| slot | daytime | 63 | -0.0 |
| rest | normal | 55 | -0.0 |
| opponent | NYJ | 8 | -0.1 |
| venue | away | 38 | -0.2 |
| temp | mild | 29 | -0.3 |
| temp | warm | 12 | -0.3 |
| surface | grass | 25 | -0.3 |
| opponent | LV | 4 | -0.4 |
| opponent | LAC | 3 | -0.6 |
| division | division | 25 | -0.7 |
| rest | short | 8 | -1.3 |
| spread | underdog | 48 | -2.1 |
| roof | indoors | 7 | -2.2 |
| opponent | BUF | 9 | -2.5 |
| opponent | SEA | 3 | -3.6 |