Projection · week 6
confidence 83%3.8PPRrange 0.0–7.0
Points allowed: BUF implied for 29.5 by the betting lines, worth −1.2 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.3: this defense 2.4 × BUF gives up 2.3 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.64: this defense 0.65 × BUF throws 0.68 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| slot | primetime | 12 | +2.7 |
| opponent | NO | 3 | +2.5 |
| opponent | MIA | 3 | +2.5 |
| rest | short | 12 | +2.2 |
| spread | favorite | 24 | +1.8 |
| temp | cold | 4 | +1.6 |
| rest | long | 14 | +1.5 |
| opponent | LAC | 9 | +0.8 |
| venue | home | 36 | +0.7 |
| wind | calm | 15 | +0.5 |
| roof | indoors | 50 | +0.4 |
| surface | grass | 53 | +0.3 |
| temp | mild | 7 | +0.3 |
| division | division | 26 | +0.1 |
| surface | turf | 17 | +0.0 |
| division | non-division | 47 | -0.0 |
| opponent | KC | 9 | -0.1 |
| opponent | NE | 4 | -0.4 |
| opponent | DEN | 8 | -0.5 |
| slot | daytime | 61 | -0.5 |
| venue | away | 37 | -0.7 |
| roof | outdoors | 23 | -0.9 |
| spread | underdog | 49 | -0.9 |
| rest | normal | 47 | -1.0 |
| temp | warm | 7 | -1.3 |
| opponent | JAX | 3 | -1.5 |
| opponent | PIT | 3 | -1.9 |
| wind | windy | 3 | -2.5 |
| opponent | IND | 3 | -4.9 |