Projection · week 6
confidence 83%5.0PPRrange 2.0–8.0
Points allowed: KC implied for 25.5 by the betting lines, worth −0.4 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.3: this defense 2.4 × KC gives up 2.3 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.80: this defense 0.82 × KC throws 0.68 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | NE | 3 | +5.8 |
| temp | mild | 14 | +2.3 |
| opponent | LV | 9 | +1.8 |
| wind | calm | 22 | +1.5 |
| rest | long | 18 | +1.3 |
| venue | away | 39 | +1.2 |
| roof | outdoors | 27 | +1.0 |
| spread | favorite | 49 | +0.8 |
| surface | turf | 47 | +0.6 |
| slot | primetime | 24 | +0.6 |
| opponent | HOU | 3 | +0.5 |
| division | non-division | 50 | +0.3 |
| opponent | TEN | 4 | -0.3 |
| slot | daytime | 52 | -0.3 |
| rest | normal | 43 | -0.4 |
| rest | short | 15 | -0.5 |
| division | division | 26 | -0.5 |
| roof | indoors | 49 | -0.6 |
| surface | grass | 25 | -0.6 |
| temp | warm | 6 | -1.2 |
| venue | home | 37 | -1.3 |
| opponent | KC | 8 | -1.4 |
| spread | underdog | 27 | -1.5 |
| opponent | DEN | 9 | -2.2 |
| opponent | MIA | 3 | -2.8 |
| opponent | ARI | 3 | -3.5 |
| opponent | JAX | 3 | -4.8 |