Projection · week 6
confidence 83%6.7PPRrange 3.0–10.0
Points allowed: ARI implied for 19.5 by the betting lines, worth +1.1 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.5: this defense 2.3 × ARI gives up 2.6 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.81: this defense 0.78 × ARI throws 0.73 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | GB | 3 | +2.8 |
| rest | long | 19 | +2.1 |
| wind | windy | 4 | +1.8 |
| temp | mild | 16 | +1.5 |
| temp | cold | 4 | +1.3 |
| opponent | SEA | 9 | +1.3 |
| rest | short | 15 | +1.0 |
| spread | favorite | 43 | +0.9 |
| wind | calm | 23 | +0.5 |
| venue | home | 38 | +0.5 |
| opponent | ARI | 8 | +0.5 |
| roof | outdoors | 30 | +0.4 |
| surface | turf | 50 | +0.3 |
| division | non-division | 53 | +0.1 |
| slot | primetime | 22 | +0.1 |
| slot | daytime | 57 | -0.1 |
| surface | grass | 26 | -0.2 |
| roof | indoors | 49 | -0.2 |
| division | division | 26 | -0.3 |
| venue | away | 41 | -0.5 |
| spread | underdog | 36 | -1.0 |
| rest | normal | 45 | -1.2 |
| opponent | CAR | 3 | -1.2 |
| opponent | NO | 4 | -1.4 |
| temp | warm | 7 | -1.5 |
| opponent | BUF | 3 | -1.9 |
| opponent | SF | 9 | -2.6 |
| opponent | PHI | 5 | -2.7 |
| opponent | DET | 3 | -3.6 |