Projection · week 6
confidence 67%7.4PPRrange 3.0–11.0
Points allowed: LAC implied for 17.0 by the betting lines, worth +1.9 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.4: this defense 1.9 × LAC gives up 2.9 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.83: this defense 0.70 × LAC throws 0.83 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| wind | windy | 3 | +6.6 |
| opponent | BAL | 3 | +2.3 |
| opponent | SF | 3 | +2.0 |
| opponent | MIA | 3 | +1.3 |
| opponent | JAX | 4 | +1.2 |
| opponent | LAC | 8 | +1.2 |
| division | division | 26 | +0.8 |
| rest | normal | 37 | +0.8 |
| opponent | DEN | 9 | +0.7 |
| temp | mild | 24 | +0.7 |
| opponent | LV | 9 | +0.5 |
| spread | favorite | 69 | +0.4 |
| surface | grass | 62 | +0.3 |
| roof | outdoors | 65 | +0.3 |
| slot | daytime | 57 | +0.2 |
| rest | short | 17 | +0.1 |
| venue | home | 42 | +0.1 |
| temp | warm | 10 | -0.0 |
| venue | away | 40 | -0.1 |
| wind | calm | 48 | -0.2 |
| opponent | CIN | 4 | -0.3 |
| opponent | HOU | 4 | -0.3 |
| division | non-division | 56 | -0.4 |
| slot | primetime | 25 | -0.4 |
| temp | cold | 17 | -0.4 |
| roof | indoors | 17 | -1.0 |
| rest | long | 28 | -1.1 |
| surface | turf | 16 | -1.5 |
| spread | underdog | 13 | -2.0 |
| opponent | IND | 3 | -2.7 |
| opponent | PHI | 4 | -3.8 |
| opponent | BUF | 6 | -3.9 |