Projection · week 6
confidence 83%6.1PPRrange 2.0–10.0
Points allowed: HOU implied for 20.0 by the betting lines, worth +1.0 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.1: this defense 2.2 × HOU gives up 2.3 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.74: this defense 0.92 × HOU throws 0.56 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | TEN | 8 | +3.1 |
| wind | windy | 3 | +2.9 |
| opponent | IND | 8 | +1.7 |
| opponent | NYJ | 3 | +1.6 |
| opponent | LAC | 3 | +1.2 |
| division | division | 24 | +1.2 |
| spread | favorite | 33 | +1.2 |
| opponent | CLE | 3 | +0.9 |
| rest | short | 6 | +0.9 |
| venue | home | 39 | +0.7 |
| temp | warm | 21 | +0.5 |
| temp | mild | 22 | +0.4 |
| roof | outdoors | 62 | +0.3 |
| surface | grass | 55 | +0.2 |
| rest | normal | 61 | +0.2 |
| wind | calm | 45 | +0.1 |
| slot | daytime | 68 | +0.1 |
| opponent | CIN | 3 | -0.4 |
| division | non-division | 52 | -0.5 |
| venue | away | 37 | -0.8 |
| slot | primetime | 8 | -0.8 |
| temp | cold | 5 | -0.8 |
| spread | underdog | 43 | -0.9 |
| opponent | HOU | 8 | -1.2 |
| opponent | KC | 4 | -1.2 |
| roof | indoors | 14 | -1.4 |
| opponent | PHI | 3 | -1.4 |
| surface | turf | 15 | -1.6 |
| opponent | DEN | 3 | -1.8 |
| rest | long | 9 | -2.1 |
| opponent | LV | 3 | -2.8 |
| opponent | BUF | 3 | -5.1 |