Projection · week 6
confidence 83%6.4PPRrange 3.0–10.0
Points allowed: TEN implied for 18.8 by the betting lines, worth +1.3 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.4: this defense 2.3 × TEN gives up 2.5 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.59: this defense 0.66 × TEN throws 0.63 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | NE | 3 | +3.7 |
| spread | favorite | 31 | +2.0 |
| temp | warm | 7 | +1.8 |
| opponent | TEN | 8 | +1.4 |
| opponent | LV | 3 | +1.4 |
| rest | long | 9 | +1.4 |
| surface | grass | 20 | +1.2 |
| opponent | DEN | 3 | +0.7 |
| division | non-division | 48 | +0.5 |
| opponent | PIT | 5 | +0.4 |
| roof | indoors | 39 | +0.2 |
| slot | daytime | 65 | +0.2 |
| venue | home | 36 | +0.0 |
| venue | away | 37 | -0.0 |
| wind | calm | 18 | -0.1 |
| rest | normal | 58 | -0.2 |
| roof | outdoors | 34 | -0.2 |
| surface | turf | 50 | -0.4 |
| rest | short | 6 | -0.5 |
| opponent | KC | 3 | -0.6 |
| division | division | 25 | -1.0 |
| opponent | HOU | 9 | -1.1 |
| slot | primetime | 8 | -1.3 |
| temp | mild | 11 | -1.4 |
| spread | underdog | 42 | -1.5 |
| opponent | JAX | 8 | -3.1 |