Projection · week 6
confidence 83%6.0PPRrange 2.0–10.0
Points allowed: JAX implied for 22.5 by the betting lines, worth +0.3 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.7: this defense 2.7 × JAX gives up 2.3 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.75: this defense 0.77 × JAX throws 0.69 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | TEN | 9 | +4.2 |
| opponent | CLE | 3 | +3.4 |
| opponent | LAC | 3 | +3.1 |
| slot | primetime | 11 | +2.6 |
| temp | cold | 8 | +1.3 |
| wind | calm | 19 | +1.1 |
| spread | favorite | 32 | +1.0 |
| rest | short | 13 | +0.6 |
| temp | mild | 7 | +0.5 |
| division | division | 26 | +0.4 |
| roof | outdoors | 32 | +0.4 |
| surface | grass | 20 | +0.2 |
| venue | home | 39 | +0.0 |
| rest | long | 13 | +0.0 |
| surface | turf | 56 | -0.0 |
| venue | away | 40 | -0.0 |
| rest | normal | 53 | -0.2 |
| division | non-division | 53 | -0.2 |
| opponent | DEN | 3 | -0.3 |
| opponent | DAL | 3 | -0.3 |
| roof | indoors | 47 | -0.3 |
| temp | warm | 7 | -0.3 |
| slot | daytime | 68 | -0.4 |
| spread | underdog | 47 | -0.7 |
| opponent | BAL | 4 | -1.1 |
| opponent | IND | 9 | -1.4 |
| opponent | JAX | 8 | -1.7 |
| opponent | KC | 4 | -2.3 |
| opponent | BUF | 3 | -2.6 |
| wind | windy | 3 | -2.9 |