
Projection · week 6
confidence 83%3.4PPRrange 0.0–6.0
Points allowed: GB implied for 27.5 by the betting lines, worth −0.8 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 1.8: this defense 1.9 × GB gives up 2.1 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.45: this defense 0.51 × GB throws 0.61 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | CAR | 3 | +6.1 |
| opponent | WAS | 9 | +4.2 |
| opponent | NYG | 9 | +3.1 |
| rest | short | 15 | +2.1 |
| division | division | 26 | +1.9 |
| spread | favorite | 43 | +1.5 |
| temp | mild | 18 | +0.5 |
| slot | daytime | 50 | +0.4 |
| venue | home | 38 | +0.0 |
| roof | indoors | 42 | +0.0 |
| rest | long | 18 | +0.0 |
| roof | outdoors | 34 | -0.0 |
| venue | away | 38 | -0.0 |
| wind | windy | 4 | -0.0 |
| surface | turf | 48 | -0.3 |
| opponent | DET | 4 | -0.3 |
| slot | primetime | 26 | -0.7 |
| rest | normal | 43 | -0.7 |
| surface | grass | 26 | -1.0 |
| division | non-division | 50 | -1.0 |
| wind | calm | 24 | -1.3 |
| opponent | TB | 4 | -1.5 |
| spread | underdog | 33 | -1.9 |
| opponent | PHI | 8 | -2.0 |
| opponent | HOU | 3 | -3.9 |
| temp | warm | 8 | -4.7 |
| opponent | SF | 3 | -4.9 |
| opponent | GB | 3 | -6.3 |