Projection · week 6
confidence 83%5.5PPRrange 2.0–9.0
Points allowed: BAL implied for 24.0 by the betting lines, worth ±0.0 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.7: this defense 2.7 × BAL gives up 2.4 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.62: this defense 0.70 × BAL throws 0.62 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | MIA | 3 | +3.0 |
| opponent | HOU | 3 | +2.0 |
| spread | favorite | 24 | +1.9 |
| temp | mild | 30 | +1.6 |
| opponent | NYJ | 4 | +1.5 |
| slot | primetime | 7 | +1.5 |
| venue | home | 36 | +1.3 |
| opponent | CIN | 8 | +1.0 |
| opponent | JAX | 3 | +0.7 |
| wind | calm | 43 | +0.5 |
| opponent | BAL | 8 | +0.3 |
| rest | normal | 54 | +0.2 |
| surface | grass | 55 | +0.2 |
| roof | outdoors | 65 | +0.2 |
| division | division | 25 | +0.1 |
| wind | windy | 11 | +0.0 |
| rest | short | 9 | +0.0 |
| division | non-division | 49 | -0.1 |
| slot | daytime | 67 | -0.2 |
| opponent | PIT | 9 | -0.8 |
| rest | long | 11 | -0.9 |
| spread | underdog | 50 | -0.9 |
| surface | turf | 16 | -1.0 |
| temp | cold | 13 | -1.0 |
| temp | warm | 11 | -1.1 |
| roof | indoors | 9 | -1.1 |
| venue | away | 38 | -1.2 |