Projection · week 6
confidence 83%5.2PPRrange 2.0–9.0
Points allowed: ATL implied for 24.5 by the betting lines, worth −0.1 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.0: this defense 2.3 × ATL gives up 2.1 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.90: this defense 0.85 × ATL throws 0.73 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | CAR | 3 | +2.6 |
| opponent | PHI | 3 | +2.3 |
| slot | primetime | 16 | +1.6 |
| opponent | WAS | 4 | +1.5 |
| temp | warm | 5 | +1.5 |
| spread | favorite | 21 | +1.5 |
| temp | mild | 27 | +1.4 |
| venue | home | 39 | +1.2 |
| wind | calm | 42 | +1.1 |
| surface | grass | 54 | +1.0 |
| rest | long | 16 | +1.0 |
| division | non-division | 48 | +0.9 |
| roof | outdoors | 60 | +0.4 |
| opponent | MIN | 9 | +0.3 |
| wind | windy | 7 | +0.1 |
| temp | cold | 17 | +0.1 |
| rest | normal | 45 | -0.1 |
| slot | daytime | 59 | -0.4 |
| spread | underdog | 54 | -0.6 |
| rest | short | 14 | -0.8 |
| opponent | SF | 3 | -1.1 |
| venue | away | 36 | -1.3 |
| division | division | 27 | -1.5 |
| roof | indoors | 15 | -1.7 |
| surface | turf | 18 | -2.0 |
| opponent | DET | 8 | -2.2 |
| opponent | GB | 10 | -2.6 |