Projection · week 6
confidence 83%5.5PPRrange 2.0–9.0
Points allowed: LV implied for 24.0 by the betting lines, worth ±0.0 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.4: this defense 2.3 × LV gives up 2.5 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.79: this defense 0.68 × LV throws 0.82 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | PIT | 3 | +2.5 |
| opponent | NYJ | 8 | +2.3 |
| temp | warm | 4 | +2.1 |
| opponent | JAX | 3 | +1.9 |
| rest | long | 17 | +1.2 |
| spread | favorite | 67 | +0.7 |
| surface | grass | 20 | +0.6 |
| division | division | 26 | +0.5 |
| venue | home | 43 | +0.4 |
| opponent | NE | 9 | +0.3 |
| slot | daytime | 57 | +0.3 |
| wind | windy | 7 | +0.3 |
| roof | outdoors | 69 | +0.3 |
| temp | mild | 31 | +0.1 |
| wind | calm | 53 | +0.0 |
| surface | turf | 57 | -0.1 |
| division | non-division | 55 | -0.3 |
| rest | normal | 48 | -0.3 |
| temp | cold | 25 | -0.4 |
| rest | short | 16 | -0.4 |
| venue | away | 38 | -0.4 |
| slot | primetime | 24 | -0.7 |
| opponent | MIA | 9 | -0.8 |
| opponent | HOU | 3 | -1.5 |
| roof | indoors | 12 | -1.6 |
| opponent | KC | 6 | -2.5 |
| opponent | DEN | 3 | -2.8 |
| opponent | LA | 3 | -2.8 |
| opponent | CIN | 3 | -3.1 |
| spread | underdog | 14 | -3.3 |
| opponent | BAL | 4 | -3.6 |
| opponent | DET | 3 | -3.8 |