Projection · week 6
confidence 83%7.0PPRrange 3.0–11.0
Points allowed: CLE implied for 18.5 by the betting lines, worth +1.4 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.6: this defense 2.1 × CLE gives up 2.8 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.72: this defense 0.67 × CLE throws 0.75 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | MIA | 3 | +3.8 |
| opponent | CLE | 8 | +2.9 |
| wind | windy | 8 | +2.1 |
| roof | indoors | 8 | +1.5 |
| temp | cold | 16 | +1.2 |
| surface | turf | 17 | +0.6 |
| slot | daytime | 55 | +0.4 |
| division | division | 26 | +0.3 |
| spread | favorite | 64 | +0.3 |
| rest | normal | 44 | +0.2 |
| venue | away | 39 | +0.1 |
| venue | home | 39 | -0.1 |
| opponent | HOU | 4 | -0.1 |
| division | non-division | 52 | -0.1 |
| roof | outdoors | 70 | -0.2 |
| temp | mild | 29 | -0.2 |
| surface | grass | 57 | -0.2 |
| rest | short | 14 | -0.3 |
| rest | long | 20 | -0.3 |
| wind | calm | 50 | -0.7 |
| opponent | CIN | 9 | -0.8 |
| opponent | PIT | 9 | -0.9 |
| slot | primetime | 23 | -0.9 |
| spread | underdog | 14 | -1.2 |
| temp | warm | 13 | -2.6 |
| opponent | BUF | 4 | -3.9 |
| opponent | KC | 3 | -5.6 |