Projection · week 6
confidence 83%4.6PPRrange 1.0–8.0
Points allowed: CHI implied for 26.0 by the betting lines, worth −0.5 pts once the scores either side of that are counted.
Sacks 2.3: this defense 2.5 × CHI gives up 2.1 ÷ league 2.3.
Interceptions 0.66: this defense 0.69 × CHI throws 0.67 ÷ league 0.70.
Fumble recoveries 0.45 and return touchdowns 0.10: the league's rates, because neither carries over from week to week for any team.
Each team rate is pulled toward the league's, interceptions furthest, since a hot start there rarely lasts.
Career splits
Fantasy points per game against this defense's own career average.
| opponent | MIN | 3 | +4.1 |
| rest | long | 12 | +2.6 |
| slot | primetime | 14 | +1.6 |
| opponent | NO | 9 | +1.3 |
| roof | indoors | 42 | +0.9 |
| rest | short | 10 | +0.7 |
| surface | turf | 47 | +0.4 |
| venue | home | 36 | +0.3 |
| division | non-division | 47 | +0.3 |
| spread | favorite | 35 | +0.2 |
| spread | underdog | 38 | -0.2 |
| temp | mild | 10 | -0.2 |
| venue | away | 37 | -0.3 |
| temp | warm | 8 | -0.4 |
| slot | daytime | 59 | -0.4 |
| division | division | 26 | -0.5 |
| rest | normal | 51 | -0.7 |
| opponent | WAS | 4 | -0.7 |
| wind | calm | 20 | -0.8 |
| surface | grass | 22 | -0.9 |
| roof | outdoors | 31 | -1.2 |
| opponent | ARI | 3 | -1.2 |
| opponent | CAR | 9 | -1.2 |
| opponent | TB | 8 | -1.6 |
| opponent | PIT | 3 | -2.2 |
| opponent | SEA | 3 | -3.9 |