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Is that trade fair? Ask the Trade Analyzer

Weigh any trade by rest-of-season value, byes and injuries counted, or by what it does to your own lineup. Plus better projections for starters coming back from IR.

FantasyProjections.comOctober 23rd, 20263 min read
The Trade Analyzer's share card for Gibbs for St. Brown and London, week 7, PPR, 12 teams. A slight edge, 137.9 in trade value against 117.4.

Trade offers start landing about now, and most come with a sales pitch. The new Trade Analyzer gives you a second opinion in seconds: is it fair, and does it help your team?

The Trade Analyzer

The Trade Analyzer with Jahmyr Gibbs given for Amon-Ra St. Brown and Drake London in a 12-team PPR league. The pair has 64.0 more points left, but the call is Slight edge to them: 137.9 in trade value given and 117.4 back, and the side getting two has to drop a player.

Pick who you'd give and who you'd get, up to five a side. You get a plain call (Fair, Slight edge, Clear edge or One-sided) and each side's trade value. It's under Research, and you don't need an account.

Trade value counts a player's projected points in each week left, above the last starter at his position in your league size (10, 12 or 14 teams). Weeks he'd spend on your bench add nothing. Byes and injuries are already counted, so a player on IR is valued from the week he's due back. The scoring switch in the header rescores everything.

That's why more points doesn't always mean a better trade. On week 7's numbers, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Drake London had 64 more PPR points left between them than Jahmyr Gibbs. But Gibbs clears the last starting running back by far more each week than they clear the last starting receivers, so he was worth 137.9 to their 117.4. The side getting Gibbs comes out ahead, and the side getting two has to drop a player to make room.

Weigh it for your team

The Trade Analyzer weighed for a saved 12-team PPR team, Zero WR Heroes, giving Jahmyr Gibbs for Amon-Ra St. Brown and Drake London. Helps your lineup: you give up value, but your starters get better. Plus 8.6 starting-lineup points over weeks 7 to 17 and minus 18.9 in trade value. St. Brown, London, Aaron Jones and Ollie Gordon II start more; Gibbs, Rome Odunze, Keon Coleman, Malik Washington and Tre Tucker start less.

If you've added a team under My teams, choose it under Weigh it for. You give from your real roster, and the verdict becomes your best starting lineup in every week left, with and without the trade, in your league's own settings. It shows who starts more and who starts less. In a two-for-one it drops whoever adds least, and in a one-for-two it fills the open spot with a likely waiver pickup.

Here's the same Gibbs trade, weighed for a team that drafted running backs early and is thin at receiver. It still gives up 18.9 in trade value, but St. Brown, London and Aaron Jones start in place of Gibbs and Rome Odunze, and the lineup gains 8.6 points over the rest of the season. A trade that loses on value can still be the right one if you're playing for this season, and a fair one can still weaken your lineup. League settings count too: in a superflex league, quarterbacks are worth far more.

Trade advice on any team page now opens the analyzer with that team chosen.

Share it

Every trade is a link. Paste it in your league chat and it unfurls as a card with the call and both sides' values. The card shows the league-wide view, since nobody else can see your team.

How we tested it

We ran simulated trades through a full league and checked each call against what the trade did to both lineups, then tuned the analyzer until its calls held up. The team view is the most accurate, because it sees your actual roster.

Starters coming back from IR

The Trends page's Returning starters for week 7. Lamar Jackson, Baker Mayfield and Breece Hall are likely back this week, and Rashee Rice in week 9. Braelon Allen, filling in for Hall, drops from 9.8 points this week to 7.9 a game once Hall is back.

Projections now handle a starter coming back from IR or another reserve list. His first game back is projected below his usual form, and the teammates who filled in give some of their work back. His player page says so too.

Trends has a new Returning starters section for quarterbacks, running backs, receivers and tight ends: who's due back and when, what he's projected for, and which fill-ins lose work.

A player out for the season now stays out of every rest-of-season number, so a season-ending injury can't inflate a trade.

If a trade call looks wrong, tell us.

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