Week 6 start/sit44 calls

This week's lineup calls: where the model and the experts disagree, game-time injury decisions, and the best and worst matchups.

Lineup range

League

My teams only

Biggest calls

Strongest startinto the starting range
Caleb Williams
QB · CHI @ ATL · QB3 · 20.1
Model QB3, experts QB14, about +4.1 points. The experts have him outside a 12-team starting lineup; the model starts him.
90% rosteredCompare
Biggest fadeout of the starting range
Emanuel Wilson
RB · SEA @ DEN · RB25 · 8.7
Model RB25, experts RB16, about −2.0 points. The experts start him in a 12-team league; the model has him on the bench.
84% rosteredCompare
Biggest injury question84% to play
Lamar Jackson
QB · BAL @ CLE · QB10 · 17.2
Missed practice; experts cooling · 17.2 if he plays · if he sits, Joe Fagnano (2.0)
Decide by Sun 1:00 PMCompare with backup

Model vs experts

Gaps in projected points, lineup-changing ones first (12-team league)

Full list →

Players the model ranks above the experts
Player · why	Experts → model	Gap	This week	Range	Rostered	Action
Caleb WilliamsQB · CHI into the starting range	QB14 → QB3+4.1 pts	+4.1	20.1 @ ATL Sun 1:00 PM	1126	90%	Compare
Ladd McConkeyWR · LAC into the starting rangetough matchup · @ KC 2ndon the report	WR57 → WR31+3.1 pts	+3.1	8.9 @ KC Sun 4:25 PM	118	93%	Compare
DJ MooreWR · BUF into the starting range	WR56 → WR35+2.8 pts	+2.8	8.6 @ LV Sun 4:25 PM	020	94%	Compare
Patrick MahomesQB · KC into the starting range	QB13 → QB6+2.7 pts	+2.7	18.8 vs LAC Sun 4:25 PM	1127	93%	Compare
Alvin KamaraRB · NO into the starting rangeon the report	RB26 → RB16+2.2 pts	+2.2	10.7 @ NYG Sun 1:00 PM	417	61%	Compare
Davante AdamsWR · LA	WR13 → WR7+2.6 pts	+2.6	16.8 vs ARI Sun 4:05 PM	724	98%	Compare
Wan'Dale RobinsonWR · TEN	WR30 → WR20+2.5 pts	+2.5	11.5 @ IND Sun 1:00 PM	518	64%	Compare
Devaughn VeleWR · NO	WR27 → WR21+1.8 pts	+1.8	11.0 @ NYG Sun 1:00 PM	418	47%	Preview on my team →
Tetairoa McMillanWR · CAR	WR16 → WR10+1.6 pts	+1.6	15.3 @ PHI Sun 1:00 PM	720	98%	Compare

5 outside the starting range: Cam Ward QB18 (experts QB26) · Quentin Johnston WR58 (experts WR94) · Ted Hurst III WR47 (experts WR77) · KC Concepcion WR51 (experts WR73) and 1 more

Dashed mark: the last starter in a 12-team league. Shading: the starting range. Gap: his projection minus the model's projection at his expert rank.

Game-time decisions

Starters whose status is in doubt, grouped by kickoff

Full list →

Sun 9:30 AMKicks off in 3d 9h

Nico CollinsWR8 · HOU
Limited
16.3 if he plays
100%
If he sits: Xavier Hutchinson · 5.5 · 16.3 if he plays

Sun 1:00 PMKicks off in 3d 13h

Quinshon JudkinsRB17 · CLE
74% to playDNP
Missed practice; experts dropping him
11.2 if he plays
74%
If he sits: Jaleel McLaughlin · 3.4 · 11.2 if he plays
Lamar JacksonQB10 · BAL
84% to playDNP
Missed practice; experts cooling
17.2 if he plays
84%
If he sits: Joe Fagnano · 2.0 · 17.2 if he plays
Breece HallRB16 · NYJ
84% to playDNPexperts dropped him1st game back · line cut 15%
Missed practice; experts not ranking him
11.2 if he plays
84%
If he sits: Braelon Allen · 7.0 · 11.2 if he plays
DeVonta SmithWR23 · PHI
84% to playDNP1st game back · line cut 16%
Missed practice; experts not ranking him
11.0 if he plays
84%
If he sits: Darius Cooper · 5.8 · 11.0 if he plays
Chris OlaveWR5 · NO
94% to playDNP
Missed practice; experts steady
18.4 if he plays
94%
If he sits: Barion Brown · 0.0 · 18.4 if he plays
Tony PollardRB21 · TEN
94% to playDNP
Missed practice; experts steady
10.3 if he plays
94%
If he sits: Tyjae Spears · 6.1 · 10.3 if he plays
Jonathan TaylorRB5 · IND
Limited
19.2 if he plays
100%
If he sits: Seth McGowan · 2.0 · 19.2 if he plays
Denzel BostonWR17 · CLE
Limited
13.2 if he plays
100%
If he sits: Isaiah Bond · 3.3 · 13.2 if he plays
Alvin KamaraRB19 · NO
Limited
10.7 if he plays
100%
If he sits: Kendre Miller · 6.2 · 10.7 if he plays
Josh DownsWR27 · IND
Limitedsoft matchup · vs TEN 31st
9.4 if he plays
100%
If he sits: Ashton Dulin · 1.9 · 9.4 if he plays

Sun 4:25 PMKicks off in 3d 16h

Rashee RiceWR20 · KC
Likely outDNP
Unlikely to play this week (www.espn.com - NFL); also practice
12.4 if he plays
10%
If he sits: Nikko Remigio · 0.1 · 12.4 if he plays
Brock BowersTE1 · LV
Limited
19.0 if he plays
100%
If he sits: Michael Mayer · 7.3 · 19.0 if he plays
Ladd McConkeyWR33 · LAC
Limitedtough matchup · @ KC 2nd
8.9 if he plays
100%
If he sits: Brenen Thompson · 3.0 · 8.9 if he plays

Mon 8:15 PMKicks off in 4d 20h

Deebo Samuel Sr.WR24 · SF
Out
Out for several weeks (profootballtalk)
Not playing
Out
If he sits: Jordan Watkins · 5.6 · 10.7 if he plays

20 outside the starting range: David Montgomery RB33 · Roman Wilson WR49 · Adonai Mitchell WR57 · Stefon Diggs WR45 and 16 more

Most points at stake first within each kickoff. Official game statuses arrive Friday. Backup projections don't yet include a bump for the starter sitting.